Round 4 results were decent. Algo profits are shown in the following figure, though unfortunately there were no trading opportunities for diving gear this round. Manual trading brought in 90K, bringing me back to the top 40+ rankings.
For Round 5, the website lists 20 traders, but the data only includes ten—not sure why. Analyzing these ten traders reveals some interesting behavioral patterns:
⦁ Gary: Aggressively takes best bid/offer (essentially losing money)
⦁ Pablo: Significant imbalance between buys/sells (clear directional bias)
⦁ P-family traders: Mostly take active positions
⦁ Charlie: Trades momentum
⦁ Caesar: Constantly makes markets
The figure shows the normalized PnL across these traders. While each has distinct trading tendencies and strategies, none consistently generate stable profits—except Olivia, the only exception.
Key Insight:
Olivia’s trades are nearly 100% profitable. The optimal strategy is simple:
(1) When Olivia enters a trade, go all-in and pause your original strategy.
(2) When Olivia exits, close the position and resume normal trading.
That’s the only actionable edge I found this round.
