2023R4

Calculating the Sweet Spot: Refining Bid Strategies Through Distribution Analysis

First, the distribution from the previous round appeared roughly symmetrical, so we estimated both the median and mean at the midpoint.

In the last round:
⦁ Profit range was approximately 9685 to 10500
⦁ (Since exact numbers weren’t available, we used 10500 as placeholder)

First-level logic:
⦁ Median = (9685 + 10500)/2 = 9867.5
⦁ Settlement price = (9685 + 9867.5)/2 = 9776.25

Second-level logic:
⦁ New profit range = 9776.25 to 9867.5
⦁ Median = (9776.25 + 9867.5)/2 = 9821.875
⦁ Settlement price = (9776.25 + 9821.875)/2 ≈ 9799

Therefore, I’ll place my bid around 9822 this round.

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